Geopolitical Cyber

When the Threat Is a Condition

The Discovery Tax of Cyber Persistence. A certain, immediate cost against a harm that may never come.

Jul 6 • John Ellis

June 2026

When Washington Switches Off the Model

AI Access, Middle-Power Dependency, and the New Geography of Cyber Risk

Jun 14 • John Ellis

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April 2026

The Secret and the Wound

Ultra, Crete, and the human cost of knowing

Apr 28 • John Ellis

March 2026

Running to Stand Still: The Illusion of Cyber Risk Reduction

Writing on cyber strategy, statecraft, operations, and geopolitics in a personal capacity.

Mar 31 • John Ellis

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February 2026

When Silence Stops Being Cheap

Public attribution isn't moral signaling; it’s a retooling tax. Explore why Singapore’s move against UNC3886 signals the end of cheap silence and the…

Feb 15 • John Ellis

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Cyber Strategy Is Not Activity

(And Why Confusing the Two Quietly Undermines the Business)

Feb 8 • John Ellis

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December 2025

The Great Realignment: America’s Strategic Pivot from Global Guardian to Hemispheric Power

Writing on cyber strategy, statecraft, operations, and geopolitics in a personal capacity.

Dec 8, 2025 • John Ellis

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Why Western Strategic Models Keep Misreading China

Misreading China in geopolitics leads to misreading China in cyber.

Dec 7, 2025 • John Ellis

November 2025

The CISO’s Dilemma: Operationalising Sovereign Technology Decisions in Private Sector Risk Frameworks

(Part of the “Five Forces Breaking the Digital Order” series)

Nov 28, 2025 • John Ellis

Europe’s Spreadsheet Sovereignty: Can Procurement Policy Compete with China’s Firmware Control?

Writing on cyber operations, stragegy, statecraft, and geopolitics in a personal capacity.

Nov 4, 2025 • John Ellis

The Governance Paradox: Why Organisations Measure What’s Manageable, Not What Matters

Writing on cyber strategy, statecraft, operations, and geopolitics in a personal capacity.

Nov 2, 2025 • John Ellis

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October 2025

The Bootloader of Power: China’s UBIOS and the Politics of Digital Sovereignty

Technology Bifurcation at the Firmware Layer

Oct 26, 2025 • John Ellis

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